A New Kind of Stock Chart: K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) Critical Pivot Points

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) Critical Pivot Points as of

2016-08-26

(LRN Stock Price as of Publication: $11.39)

This is a real time view of the critical technical pivot points for K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) .

The technical pivot points we look at all surround the stock price movement from the last 10-trading days through the last year. Here are the pivots, starting with the tightest measures of support and resistance, and then moving to the various moving averages and annual range.

K12 Inc Pivot Points

Current Price     $11.39
Technical Support     $11.18
Technical Resistance     $11.96
52 Week Low     $7.11
10-day Moving Average     $11.72
50-day Moving Average     $12.39
200-day Moving Average     $10.65
52 Week High     $14.45

Next we move to a graphical representation of the critical technical pivot points.

You can hover over the points to see the actual prices.

K12 Inc Pivot Points Scatterplot
(a new stock chart, built for traders)

Yr Low200-dayMA50-dayMA10-dayMAYesterdayClose$11.53LRNToday$11.39Yr High52 Wk LowBCDEF52 Wk High468101214161820

The green pivot point to the far right is the 52 week high.

The red pivot point to the far left is the 52 week low.

The blue pivot point is the current stock price.

The three pivot points in the middle represent the moving averages.

CONCLUSION

The next resistance pivot point is $11.72.

The next support pivot point is $10.65.

This is a new kind of stock chart – one built for traders that bypasses the weaknesses of only looking at a time series
as it shortens the time to conclusion about a stock’s critical technical position.

Pivot Point Summary

➤ Look how easily we can see that the current price (the blue points) is in between all of the purple dots,
which are the 200-, 50- and 10-day moving averages, respectively, pointing to the proximity of the next critical pivot point.

➤  The stock price is above the 200-day moving average

➤  The stock price is below the 50-day moving average

➤  The stock price is below the 10-day moving average

A New Kind of Stock Chart: For the Trader

This scatterplot for K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) , with the technical pivot points marked as points in time rather than a time series, is
the next evolution of stock chart.

You can get this same chart for any stock here:

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Trading Review: Looking at Unusual Volume for K12, Inc. (NYSE:LRN)

by Engelwood Staff August 9, 2016

Shares of K12, Inc. (NYSE:LRN) are experiencing unusual volume during today’s trading.  While the stock price moved along with the volume change, shares are touching $11.04 at the time of writing.  The day’s total volume of 365438 this morning is in contrast from the three-month daily average of 153.50K.  When we divide the current volume by the three-month average volume, we get a relative volume of 4.15.

The difference between yesterday’s closing price and today’s opening price was -6.86%.  

Why is this important?

Trading volume is a hugely important consideration for any investor.  By watching how many shares are trading hands and looking for any changes in that activity, trading opportunities can be spotted along with a deeper understanding of the reliability of other indicators on the stock.  A significant increase in trading volume means that more than double the average amount of stocks are moving.  When volume is decreased significantly, it may indicate there is an issue that shareholders should watch out for.  It’s also important to take into consideration how long the unusual volume sustains for.  If it’s only the one trading day, it can be dismissed as an anomaly.

Looking Back

K12, Inc. (NYSE:LRN)‘s market capital, the total dollar value of all of their outstanding shares, is 509.09m.  Including today’s unusual volume, K12, Inc.‘s stock is performing at 45.80% on the year.  For the week, the stock is performing -1.53%.  Over the past month the firm’s stock is -1.00%, 7.18% for the last quarter, 33.09% for the past six-months and -9.77% for the last year.

Current levels places the company’s stock about -20.59% from the 50-day high and 0.16% away from the 50-day low.  

Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and information expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of any company stakeholders, financial professionals, or analysts. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized to make stock portfolio or financial decisions as they are based only on limited and open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of any analysts or financial professionals.

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Option Market: K12 Inc Risk Hits An Elevated Level

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) Risk

Date Published:

2016-07-18

PREFACE

This is a proprietary risk rating for the next 30-days built by Capital Market Laboratories (CMLviz) based on a large number of interactions of data points, many of which
come directly from the option market for K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) .

Risk as reflected by the option market has hit
a slightly elevated level relative to the company’s past. The option market reflects a 95% confidence interval stock price range of
($11.90, $15.00) within the next 30 calendar days.

LRN OPTION MARKET RISK

The short-term risk for a stock is reflected in the option market by a measure called the 30-day implied volatility or IV30®.
The IV30 is the risk reflected by the option market in the stock price for the next 30 calendar days — it’s forward looking.
K12 Inc shows an IV30 of 50.1%, which is a slightly elevated level for the company relative to its past.

The option market for LRN has shown an IV30 annual low of
38.6% and an annual high of 72.8%, meaning that LRN is at the 34% percentile right now. Here’s a table of the data before we dig into the risk rating further.

LRN
Current IV30    
LRN
Low IV30    
LRN
High IV30   
50.1% 38.6% 72.8%

01020304050607080Current IV30Low IV30High IV30

The option market reflects less risk in the next 30 calendar days for K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) than on average.

Further, if we look backwards, the stock has a realized 30-day historical volatility, called the HV30, of 39.03%.

We have an unusual situation now where the IV30 is depressed relative to the past, but even with that risk pricing, the option market reflects the likelihood of a greater stock movement in the next 30-days than the stock has realized in the last 30-days.

Let’s turn to a chart to see what’s going on.

 0510152025303540455055Next 30 DaysLast 30 Days

Note how much higher the future risk for K12 Inc is priced (50.1%) compared to what happened just in the last 30-days (39.0%).

K12 Inc Risk Rating

The LRN risk rating is at 3.5, where the rating goes from one (the lowest risk) to five (the highest risk). The driving factors for the 3.5 rating are:

↪ The IV30 is below the annual average.

↪ The IV30 is above 50%.

↪ The HV30 is below the 20th percentile.

↪ The IV30 is above the HV30.

↪ The stock has moved +33.0% over the last 3-months which does indicate some elevated risk.

WHY THIS MATTERS

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Home » Analyst Views » K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) Costs Of Goods Sold Stands At $607.756 Millions

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) Costs Of Goods Sold Stands At $607.756 Millions

on May 28, 2016

For the fiscal ended 2015-06-30, K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) comprehensive income was $-1.065 millions and for the quarter ended 2015-06-30, it was $-1.065 millions.

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) posted $9.326 millions on net loss/income for the fiscal closed 2015-06-30. For the quarter ended 2015-06-30, it came at $9.326 millions.

Cost of goods sold

For the year ended 2015-06-30, K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) costs of goods sold was $607.756 millions. This figure came at $607.756 for the quarter ended 2015-06-30.

The cost of goods sold is posted on the income statement and is stated as cost of the accounting period. By comparing the revenues from the goods sold and cost of the goods sold, the matching concept of accounting is achieved. Also, cost of goods sold deducted from the sales revenues represents gross profit. By adjusting the cost of the goods manufactured or purchased by the change in record of finished goods gives cost of goods sold.

Deferred revenue

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) current deferred revenue was $24.927 millions, for the year ending on 2015-06-30. It was $24.927 millions for the quarter closed 2015-06-30.

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) posted $7.692 millions for the fiscal ended 2015-06-30, which was $7.692 millions for the quarter closed 2015-06-30.

EBIT and EBIT margins

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) EBIT for the year ended 2015-06-30 and quarter 2015-06-30 came at $18.4271 millions and $18.4271 millions, respectively.

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) announced EBIT margin of 18.4271% and 18.4271% for the year ended 2015-06-30 and quarter ended 2015-06-30, respectively.

EBIT is a measure of a firm’s earning capacity from ongoing businesses, equal to earnings before subtraction of income taxes and interest. It excludes expenditure and income from unusual, discontinued or non-recurring activities. In event of a firm with minimal amortization activities and depreciation, EBIT is tracked closely by creditors, because it indicates the amount of funds that such a firm will be able to deploy to pay off creditors, also termed operating profit.

EBITDA and EBITDA margins

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) reported EBITDA of $18.4271 millions for the year closed 2015-06-30. EBITDA for the quarter closed 2015-06-30 was 18.4271 millions. For the fiscal ended 2015-06-30 EBITDA margin was 18.4271%

Book value

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) book value for the fiscal ended 2015-06-30 was $14.0065. The book value was $14.0065 for the quarter ended 2015-06-30.

Common shares count

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) common shares for the fiscal closing 2015-06-30 was 38.335. For the quarter ended 2015-06-30, there were 38.335 common shares outstanding.

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K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) Comprehensive Income At $-1.065 For Period Ended 2015-06-30

For the year ended 2015-06-30, K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN)comprehensive income was $-1.065 millions while for the quarter ended 2015-06-30, it was $-1.065 millions.

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) posted $9.326 millions on consolidated net income/loss for the year ended 2015-06-30. For the quarter ended 2015-06-30, it came at $9.326 millions.

Cost of goods sold

For the year ended 2015-06-30, K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) spent $607.756 millions as the costs of goods sold, which stood at $607.756 millions for the quarter ended 2015-06-30. Cost of goods sold are the direct costs related to the production of the products sold by a firm. This includes the materials costs used in manufacturing the good in addition to the direct labor costs deployed to manufacture the good. It discounts indirect expenses including sales force costs and distribution costs. Cost of goods sold comes on the income statement and it can be reduced from revenue to compute a company’s gross margin. It is also known as “cost of sales.”

Deferred revenue

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) concluded the year ended 2015-06-30 with current deferred revenue of $24.927 millions, which amounted to $24.927 millions for the quarter ended 2015-06-30.

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) reported $7.692 millions for the year ended 2015-06-30. This figure for the quarter ended 2015-06-30 was $7.692 millions.

EBIT and EBIT margins

For the year ended 2015-06-30 and quarter 2015-06-30, K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) reported EBIT of $18.4271 millions and $18.4271 millions, respectively.

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) posted EBIT margin of 18.4271% and 18.4271% for the year ended 2015-06-30 and quarter ended 2015-06-30, respectively.

EBIT measures the profitability of a firm without considering its tax implications or cost of capital. It helps reduce these two variables that can vary from firm to firm, and allows one to evaluate operating profitability as a particular measure of performance. This analysis is mainly important when assessing similar firms across a single industry. EBIT margin is a computation of a firm’s profit which is computed as EBIT divided by net revenue.

EBITDA and EBITDA margins

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) reported EBITDA of $18.4271 millions for the year ended 2015-06-30. EBITDA for the quarter ended 2015-06-30 was 18.4271 millions. For the year ended 2015-06-30 EBITDA margin came at 18.4271%

Book value

Book-value per share for K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) for the year ended 2015-06-30 was $14.0065. For the quarter ended 2015-06-30, the book value was $14.0065.

Common shares count

Common shares count at the end of the year ended 2015-06-30 was 38.335. For the quarter ended 2015-06-30, there were 38.335 common shares outstanding.

K12 Inc. (NYSE:LRN) Reports Bad News, But Blames Contract Changes

0

The management of K12 Inc. (NYSE:LRN) has attempted to explain why its headline result for F3Q2016 couldn’t match a similar quarter last year: changes in a major client account. Revenue in F3Q2016 as well as in the nine months to March 2016 fell compared to a similar period a year earlier because of the same reason.

The affected client account was that of Agora Cyber Charter School. K12 Inc. (NYSE:LRN) said that contracted moved to Non-managed from Managed program, thus causing revenue disruption.

What was the report for 1Q?

K12 Inc. (NYSE:LRN)’s F3Q2016 revenue of $221.3 million marked a pullback from $224.6 million in a similar quarter a year ago. Non-GAAP EBITDA of $36.7 million also fell from $45.2 million in the previous year.

Almost all of K12’s key financial metrics fell in the latest quarter compared to a year ago because operating income of $19.1 million was down from $27.4 million in 1Q2015. Net income attributable to common shareholders contracted to $14.3 million from $17 million and diluted EPS attributable to common shareholders shrunk to $0.37 from $0.45.

What about the nine months to end of March?

The narrative was largely the same. Revenue of $651.4 million in the first nine months of F2016 was down from $712.6 million in the first nine months of F2015. Non-GAAP EBITDA of $64 million pulled back from $87 million and operating income of $13.4 million sharply down from $34.7 million.

K12 Inc. (NYSE:LRN) further reported that net income attributable to common shareholders of $10 million was down from $22.6 million in the initial nine months of F2015. The same story went for diluted EPS attributable to shareholders that came in at $0.26 relative to $0.60 in the initial nine months of F2015.

Performance in line with expectations

Despite the pullback in both the results of F3Q2016 and the first nine months of F2015, CEO, Stuart Udell, insisted that the company continues to achieve results according to its guidance for the year. Perhaps that is another way of saying that the transition of the Agora Cyber Charter School contract was expected and had been baked in the projections for the year.

What about the future?

For F4Q2016, K12 Inc. (NYSE:LRN) is looking for revenue in the band of $205 to $215 million. Operating income for the quarter is expected to be between $5 million and $9 million.

Hot News: K12, Inc. (NYSE:LRN), Barnes & Noble, Inc. (NYSE:BKS), Media General Inc (NYSE:MEG), SolarCity Corporation (NASDAQ:SCTY), Marketo, Inc. (NASDAQ:MKTO)

Hot News: K12, Inc. (NYSE:LRN), Barnes & Noble, Inc. (NYSE:BKS), Media General Inc (NYSE:MEG), SolarCity Corporation (NASDAQ:SCTY), Marketo, Inc. (NASDAQ:MKTO)

K12, Inc. (NYSE:LRN) on Wednesday reported fiscal third-quarter earnings of $14.3 million. On a per-share basis, the Herndon, Virginia-based company said it had profit of 37 cents. The online education company posted revenue of $221.3 million in the period. K12 expects full-year revenue in the range of $205 million to $215 million.
K12, Inc. (NYSE:LRN)’s stock on 27 April traded at beginning with a price of $11.05 and when day-trade ended the stock finally increased 15.90% to end at $12.10. K12, Inc. (NYSE:LRN)’s showed weekly performance of 18.16%.

Barnes & Noble, Inc. (NYSE:BKS) Founder & Chairman, Leonard Riggio, said he will retire as chairman of the company following the annual shareholder meeting currently planned for September, and intends to remain on its board of directors. “I’ve done everything I have wanted to do in business and now it is time for me to pursue the many other endeavors related to my philanthropic and social interests,” Riggio said.
On Wednesday Barnes & Noble, Inc. (NYSE:BKS)’s shares closed at $12.36. Barnes & Noble, Inc. (NYSE:BKS) monthly performance stands at 0.53% while its year to date performance is 46.13%.

Media General Inc (NYSE:MEG) will report its first quarter 2016 earnings results before the market opens on May 6, 2016. The Company will host a conference call to discuss the earnings release that morning at 10:00 a.m. (ET). The conference call-in number is 1-888-218-8172 for U.S. callers and 1-913-312-0391 for international callers.
Media General Inc (NYSE:MEG) shares decreased -0.34% on last trading day to close the day at $17.35. Company price to sale ratio is 1.70 and has 0.90% insider ownership. Media General Inc (NYSE:MEG) belongs to Services sector.

SolarCity Corporation (NASDAQ:SCTY) announced that it will issue its first quarter 2016 earnings report after the market’s close on Monday, May 9, 2016. A conference call has been scheduled to discuss these results at 2:00 p.m. (Pacific Time).

On last trading day SolarCity Corporation (NASDAQ:SCTY) increased 0.94% to close at $33.31. SCTY is -5.00% away from its 52 week high and is moving 47.30% ahead of its 52 week low. SolarCity Corporation (NASDAQ:SCTY) return on investment (ROI) is -17.40% while return on equity (ROE) is -7.30%.

Marketo, Inc. (NASDAQ:MKTO) on Tuesday reported a loss of $18.4 million in its first quarter. The San Mateo, California-based company said it had a loss of 42 cents per share. Losses, adjusted for stock option expense and amortization costs, came to 17 cents per share. The results matched Wall Street expectations. The average estimate of seven analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research was also for a loss of 17 cents per share.
Marketo, Inc. (NASDAQ:MKTO) on Wednesday closed at $20.73. Stock institutional ownership is 96.00% while insider ownership includes 1.40%. Marketo, Inc. (NASDAQ:MKTO) distance from 50-day simple moving average (SMA50) is 13.13%.

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) Reported Basic Consolidated EPS Of $0.2498

April 21, 2016 1:55 pm

The yearly basic consolidated EPS for K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) for the period ended 2015-06-30 was $0.2498. For the quarter ended 2015-06-30, the basis consolidated EPS was $0.2498.

EPS from continuing operations

The basic EPS from continuing operations as reported by K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) for the period ended 2015-06-30 was $0.2498. For the quarter ended 2015-06-30, the respective number stood at $0.2498.

For any stock there may be numerous brokerage analysts tracking the company and releasing EPS projections. For over 20 years, Zacks has been following individual sell-side analyst projections and setting consensus EPS targets. The consensus projection is the mean of all the current projections made available by brokerages. Consensus estimates are considerably advantageous because they mitigate the risk of any single market analyst making an inaccurate forecast.

EPS contribution from parent

For the annual period closed 2015-06-30, K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) received basic EPS of $0.2943 from its parent firm. On quarterly basis, the contribution from the parent firm for the period ended 2015-06-30 was $0.2943.

Basic net EPS

For the annual period closed 2015-06-30, K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) posted basic net EPS of $0.29. On quarterly basis, the firm’s basic net per-share earnings for the quarter closed 2015-06-30 stood at $0.29.

Consolidated diluted EPS

The annual consolidated diluted per-share earnings reading for the period closed 2015-06-30 stood at $0.2479. For the quarter ended 2015-06-30, consolidated diluted EPS was $0.2479.

Basic diluted EPS

For the period ended 2015-06-30, diluted EPS number from continuing operation was $0.2479. For the quarter ended 2015-06-30, the respective number stood at $0.2479.

Net diluted EPS

Net diluted EPS number for the annual period closed 2015-06-30 was $0.29. For the quarter ended 2015-06-30, net diluted EPS was $0.29.

Diluted EPS from parent

From the parent company, K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) obtained diluted EPS of $0.292 for the period ended 2015-06-30. On quarterly basis, the diluted EPS payment from the parent firm for the quarter ended 2015-06-30 was $0.292.

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) posted net basic EPS of $0.29 for the annual period closed 2015-06-30. For the quarter, this basic net EPS came at $0.29 for the quarter closed 2015-06-30.

The average basic shares outstanding for the fiscal ended 2015-06-30 is 37.331 while for the quarter closed 2015-06-30 is 37.331.

The diluted shares outstanding for the twelve-monthly period ended 2015-06-30 is 37.625 while for the quarter closed 2015-06-30 is 37.625.

Author: Enterprise Staff

Why Calumet Specialty Holdings, Primero Mining, and K12 Slumped Today

Even in a strong market, these stocks fell. Find out why.

Image: Primero Mining.

Monday was a strong day for the stock market, and bullish market participants celebrated the Dow’s moving above 18,000 almost as much as when it first surpassed that milestone. Stocks overcame initial negative sentiment from the weekend’s failure among oil-producing nations to come up with a definitive agreement controlling the price of crude, and it now appears that investors might be looking to see if the Dow and other major market benchmarks can climb back into record-high territory in the near future. Even with good cheer on Wall Street, some stocks didn’t join in the rally, and Calumet Specialty Products (NASDAQ:CLMT), Primero Mining (NYSE:PPP), and K12 (NYSE:LRN) were among the worst performers in the market Monday.

Calumet plunged 48% after the producer of specialty hydrocarbon products and fuels said late Friday that it would suspend its quarterly cash distribution and take other measures to add liquidity for its business operations. Calumet completed a private placement of five-year senior secured notes, paying an interest rate of 11.5% and offering a first-priority security interest on all fixed assets under the agreements governing the company’s overall credit. Calumet will use the proceeds to refinance borrowing under its revolving credit facility, but investors worry that the decision from credit rating agency Moody’s to cut Calumet’s overall rating to Caa1 shows that the company’s actions come too late and fall short of providing enough relief from high leverage to reduce risks substantially.

Primero Mining dropped 16% in the wake of its release of preliminary first-quarter operating results. The gold miner highlighted safety as its top priority following a fatal accident at its San Dimas facility last year, but it said that it only managed to produce about 36,000 gold-equivalent ounces during the quarter at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,556 per ounce. That production was down 40% from year-earlier levels, and the costs involved soared by half due largely to changes in standards for ground support at the San Dimas mine. Even worse, Primero cut its full-year production estimates by 30,000 ounces to a range of 230,000 to 250,000 ounces, and it boosted its cost estimates by $125 per ounce to a new range of $975 to $1,025 per ounce. Despite gold’s solid performance, costs above $1,500 for a quarter are unsustainable unless the market starts behaving much better.

Finally, K12 fell 7%. The online educational services provider was the subject of a critical news article in the San Jose Mercury News over the weekend, which reported that online academies that K12 operates are “failing key tests used to measure educational success.” The piece cited statistics that more than half of those who enroll in online high schools fail to earn a diploma, and few qualify for the standards that California’s state-run public universities set for college students. For its part, K12 said that its students don’t have the same results as schools in higher-income areas with more access to funding, and it defends its model as educationally appropriate. Nevertheless, allegations of inflated attendance and enrollment records cast K12 in a negative light, threatening to add the pre-college-oriented company to the long list of for-profit college educational institutions that have been controversial for years.

Dan Caplinger has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) $195.852 In Cash And Short-Term Investments As On 2015–0-6-30

By Stocks Daily StaffApril 14, 2016

K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) reported accounts payable of $29.819 millions for the annual period ended 2015–0-6-30. The accounts payable for the quarter ended 2015–0-6-30 was $29.819 millions.

The change in accounts payable of K12 Inc (NYSE:LRN) at the end of the annual period ended 2015–0-6-30 was $-1.192 millions. For the quarter ended 2015–0-6-30 change in accounts payable stood at $-1.192 millions.

The current Deferred tax assets for the fiscal year 2015–0-6-30 stood at $8.989 millions. While for the quarter ended 2015–0-6-30 the current Deferred tax assets was $8.989 millions.

The change in assets and liabilities for the fiscal year ended 2015–0-6-30 stood at -5.909 millions. And the change during the quarter ended 2015–0-6-30 stood at $-5.909 millions.

Days sales in receivables ie., the average number of days it takes to collect outstanding receiveable amounts from customers for the fiscal year ended 2015–0-6-30 was 72.4562. While for the quarter ended 2015–0-6-30 it stood at 72.4562.

The change in the accounts receivables for the annual and quarter ended 2015–0-6-30 and 2015–0-6-30 was $-1.892 millions and $-1.892 millions respectively.

The change in inventory for the fiscal year ended 2015–0-6-30 was $2.853 millions, while for the quarter ended 2015–0-6-30 it stood at $2.853 millions.

The current portion of the outstanding debt for the fiscal year ended 2015–0-6-30 is 1.5 millions. And the outstanding debt for quarter ended 2015–0-6-30 is $1.5 millions.